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December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed. Except for the slight decline of the Dow, the large-scale technology stocks in the United States basically rose sharply. However, the Chinese stock index bottomed out and fell by 0.94%, and the A50 index fell by 0.01%, and the external sentiment was neutral.When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.

For today's disk, although American technology stocks have skyrocketed, Lao Liu would like to remind that once A shares follow the mapping to speculate on technology stocks, careful consumption and robot direction will be diverted. Therefore, chasing up is not safe, and short-term follow-up with hot money can be done!However, these batters don't suffer from pain, and it is estimated that this rhythm will not stop. There is not much we can do. As I said in the inner circle yesterday, if you want to play the board, you must be prepared to eat the limit every other day. If you have this expectation, you can still play. If you don't have the ability to accept it, you can do your own transaction with peace of mind.In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!

Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!