Tian Xuan, Dean of Tsinghua University National Institute of Finance and Professor of Finance: Comprehensive measures are taken to promote sustained and stable economic growth and high-quality development. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that next year, we should persist in striving for progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability through progress, maintaining integrity and innovation, making innovations before breaking, systematically integrating and cooperating, enriching and improving the policy toolbox, and improving the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. In this regard, Tian Xuan, dean of Tsinghua University National Finance Research Institute and professor of finance, said that the meeting clarified the core strategy of economic work next year, emphasized the innovation, systematicness and coordination of policies, and reflected the decision-makers' accurate judgment on the economic situation and positive attitude towards new changes and challenges. Tian Xuan said that compared with the past, the current policy orientation is more positive, such as "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy", paying more attention to innovation, while adhering to the basic principles and bottom line, exploring new working ideas, paying more attention to the systematic nature of policies, considering the mutual influence and synergistic effect between various policies and the coordination and cooperation between different departments and policies, and maximizing the policy effect through comprehensive policies to solve the outstanding problems currently facing and promote the economy. (SSE)Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.
Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.The concept of cryptocurrency in US stocks strengthened collectively at the beginning of the session, with Hut 8 and Riot Platforms rising by more than 8%, Bitdeer rising by more than 6%, TeraWulf and CleanSpark rising by more than 3%. In the news, US President-elect Trump announced that he would do some great things in the field of cryptocurrency.
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.According to statistics, on December 12th, as of press time, five A-share listed companies including Alaide, Zhongzhong Technology, Yiwang Yichuang, Crystal Optoelectronics and Decai Co., Ltd. disclosed their holdings.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide